SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
36.71% ( 0.14) | 25.95% ( -0.05) | 37.34% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.42% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.06% ( 0.23) | 49.94% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.07% ( 0.21) | 71.92% ( -0.21) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( 0.19) | 26.4% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.43% ( 0.25) | 61.57% ( -0.26) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( 0.05) | 26.05% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.9% ( 0.08) | 61.09% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.71% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.34% |
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