Charlotte and New York Red Bulls boast similar attacking records across their opening four games, and we are backing both of them to get on the scoresheet here. That said, we can also see the sides cancelling each other out to settle for a point apiece in the end.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
