The two sides did not meet last season so Saturday's contest will be the first encounter between Austin and Cincinnati, and with home advantage in their favour on opening night, we think that Austin will edge out the Orange and Blue to start the campaign on a positive note.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
