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Sunday, April 28
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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 43
Nov 7, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
CF

Columbus Crew
2 - 0
Chicago Fire

Zelarayan (31'), Berry (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Navarro (59'), Offor (62'), Espinoza (88'), Ivanov (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 54.36%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
54.36%21.84%23.8%
Both teams to score 61.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.1%37.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.85%60.15%
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02%13.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.51%41.49%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.98%29.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08%64.92%
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 54.36%
    Chicago Fire 23.8%
    Draw 21.84%
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 6.37%
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 3.94%
4-1 @ 3.13%
4-0 @ 2.53%
4-2 @ 1.94%
5-1 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 54.36%
1-1 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 4.06%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.84%
1-2 @ 6.11%
0-1 @ 5.02%
0-2 @ 3.11%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 23.8%

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