SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Dallas |
| 53.79% | 23.94% | 22.27% |
| Both teams to score 52.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.06% | 48.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.97% | 71.02% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% | 18.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.94% | 49.05% |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.53% | 36.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.74% | 73.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 9.64% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-0 @ 5.49% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.79% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 6.66% 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.27% |
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