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Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2022 at 3am UK
The Home Depot Center
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LA Galaxy
2 - 3
Earthquakes

Joveljic (48', 88')
Grandsir (33')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Espinoza (13' pen.), Ebobisse (14'), Lopez (40')
Lopez (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes

Even though LA Galaxy have been in a difficult patch in terms of form recently, this game could work as the ideal fixture for them to get back to winning ways. San Jose Earthquakes have been struggling throughout the season, particularly when it comes to conceding goals, which is something that should allow the hosts to pick up three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
59.4% (0.0040000000000049 0) 21.08% (0.004999999999999 0) 19.51% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.31% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.08% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)39.92% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)62.28% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)13.11% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)39.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)34.04% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)70.72% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 59.4%
    San Jose Earthquakes 19.51%
    Draw 21.08%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 6.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 3.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 59.4%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.08%
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 LA Galaxy
Saturday, July 9 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-0 Montreal
Tuesday, July 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Portland
Saturday, June 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Austin
Sunday, May 29 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-3 Houston
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 4 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 19 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Kansas
Monday, May 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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