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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | DC United |
58.72% ( 0.12) | 21.74% ( -0.05) | 19.54% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.1% ( 0.14) | 42.9% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.7% ( 0.14) | 65.3% ( -0.14) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.71% ( 0.08) | 14.29% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.91% ( 0.16) | 42.09% ( -0.16) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( 0.01) | 35.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.48% ( 0.01) | 72.52% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 58.72% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.54% |
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