DC United will be hoping to avoid a third consecutive defeat, but after losing four of their last five meetings against Atlanta United, we think the Five Stripes will edge out their hosts to clinch victory on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
