SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
57.56% ( 0.01) | 24.4% ( -0) | 18.03% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.47% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.28% ( -0) | 55.72% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.14% ( -0) | 76.86% ( -0) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% ( 0) | 19.24% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.04% ( 0.01) | 50.95% ( -0.01) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.06% ( -0.02) | 44.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.12% ( -0.01) | 80.88% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.72% Total : 57.56% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 18.03% |
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