SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
56.49% ( 0.02) | 24.2% ( -0.02) | 19.31% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.63% ( 0.07) | 53.36% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.1% ( 0.06) | 74.9% ( -0.05) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.24% ( 0.03) | 18.75% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.86% ( 0.05) | 50.14% ( -0.05) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.93% ( 0.04) | 42.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.51% ( 0.04) | 78.49% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 56.49% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.31% |
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