SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
58.38% ( -0.63) | 21.65% ( 0.23) | 19.97% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.15% ( -0.47) | 41.85% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.75% ( -0.48) | 64.25% ( 0.48) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.95% ( -0.35) | 14.05% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.38% ( -0.69) | 41.62% ( 0.69) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.3% ( 0.13) | 34.7% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.57% ( 0.14) | 71.43% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.38% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.97% |
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