SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Portland Timbers |
51.62% ( -0.16) | 24.58% ( 0.03) | 23.8% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( 0.02) | 50.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( 0.02) | 72% ( -0.01) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( -0.05) | 19.36% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.85% ( -0.09) | 51.15% ( 0.1) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% ( 0.14) | 35.65% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.58% ( 0.14) | 72.42% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 51.62% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.8% |
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