SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York City FC |
55.84% ( 1.08) | 22.71% ( -0.31) | 21.44% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.36% ( 0.44) | 44.64% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( 0.42) | 67% ( -0.42) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( 0.52) | 15.82% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.01% ( 0.96) | 44.99% ( -0.96) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.16% ( -0.48) | 34.84% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.42% ( -0.51) | 71.58% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.46% Total : 55.84% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.44% |
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