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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
33.08% ( 0.04) | 25.03% ( -0.01) | 41.89% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.58% ( 0.04) | 46.42% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( 0.04) | 68.7% ( -0.04) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( 0.04) | 26.89% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% ( 0.06) | 62.21% ( -0.06) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( -0) | 22.12% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.5% | 55.5% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.08% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.89% |
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