SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
46.69% ( 0.3) | 22.9% ( -0.01) | 30.4% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 63.29% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.44% ( -0.13) | 37.55% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.21% ( -0.14) | 59.78% ( 0.14) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( 0.06) | 16.48% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.79% ( 0.11) | 46.2% ( -0.11) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% ( -0.24) | 24.21% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.44% ( -0.34) | 58.55% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.45% Total : 46.69% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.4% |
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