Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
51.19% ( 0.1) | 23.9% ( -0.05) | 24.91% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.26% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.86% ( 0.18) | 46.14% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.56% ( 0.17) | 68.44% ( -0.17) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.96% ( 0.11) | 18.04% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.06% ( 0.18) | 48.94% ( -0.18) |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.42% ( 0.06) | 32.58% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.89% ( 0.07) | 69.11% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.19% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 24.91% |
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