SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
52.83% ( -0.59) | 22.11% ( 0.07) | 25.05% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.11% ( 0.21) | 37.89% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.85% ( 0.23) | 60.14% ( -0.23) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.53% ( -0.12) | 14.47% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.56% ( -0.23) | 42.44% ( 0.22) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( 0.52) | 28.04% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.31% ( 0.65) | 63.69% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.38% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.59% Total : 25.05% |
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