SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
66.44% ( -0.06) | 18.35% ( 0.1) | 15.21% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.27% ( -0.6) | 34.73% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.31% ( -0.68) | 56.69% ( 0.68) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.28% ( -0.18) | 9.71% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.64% ( -0.42) | 32.36% ( 0.41) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.27% ( -0.44) | 35.73% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.5% ( -0.46) | 72.5% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.14)1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.4% Total : 66.44% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.35% | 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 15.21% |
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