Physically and mentally, Montreal appear drained and in desperate need of a break to regroup, while their defending so far is leaving a lot to be desired.
Atlanta still tend to give away some quality scoring opportunities, but that should not matter too much against a side low on confidence and likely pretty tired, with little time to rest, following a midweek encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
