SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nashville SC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | New York City FC |
40.12% ( 0.11) | 25.6% ( -0.03) | 34.28% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.32% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( 0.1) | 48.66% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( 0.09) | 70.77% ( -0.09) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( 0.1) | 23.98% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.78% ( 0.14) | 58.21% ( -0.15) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% | 27.23% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.34% ( 0) | 62.66% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.12% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 34.28% |
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