Desperation, combined with an in-form striker, can take you a long way, as DC are discovering, and for as much control as New York City have had in their matches this season, they seem a little too comfortable with their current position in the table, which may cost them more points this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for DC United had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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