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Major League Soccer
Sep 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
DU

Chicago Fire
1 - 2
DC United

Gutman (54')
Gutman (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Benteke (26'), Pirani (29')
Badji (73'), Klich (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-4 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-3 DC United
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 2-2 DC United

Given the stakes of the game, we expect a thrilling contest at Soldier Field as both Chicago Fire and DC United aim to secure post-season football. While the Men in Red have struggled for results of late, they boast a solid home record against Lesesne's men and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for DC United had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawDC United
42.44% (-0.479 -0.48) 24.58% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 32.97% (0.431 0.43)
Both teams to score 58.48% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)44.39% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (-0.058 -0.06)66.76% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (-0.241 -0.24)21% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.23% (-0.379 -0.38)53.77% (0.377 0.38)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (0.23400000000001 0.23)25.98% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01% (0.315 0.32)60.99% (-0.317 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 42.44%
    DC United 32.97%
    Draw 24.57%
Chicago FireDrawDC United
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 42.44%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.066 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.96% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.025 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-4 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Chicago Fire
Friday, August 2 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 29 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Chicago Fire
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-3 DC United
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 3-4 Dallas
Sunday, August 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-2 Mazatlan
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-3 DC United
Thursday, August 1 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Atlanta 3-3 DC United (5-6 pen.)
Saturday, July 27 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: DC United 0-4 Celtic
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 3


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