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Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Geodis Park
DU

Nashville
3 - 4
DC United

Muyl (6', 62'), Williams (45')
Zimmerman (75'), Bunbury (83'), Lovitz (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bartlett (24'), Benteke (76'), Pirani (90+4', 90+7')
McVey (38'), Lesesne (39'), Herrera (41'), Bartlett (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 1-0 Nashville
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-1 DC United

Nashville and DC United find themselves in identical predicaments, both sides desperately seeking a late playoff berth and enduring a recent drought of victories. Nevertheless, given the hosts' historical dominance in this fixture on home turf, we are inclined to predict a win for them on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawDC United
44.48% (-1.718 -1.72) 24.78% (0.177 0.18) 30.74% (1.542 1.54)
Both teams to score 56.8% (0.307 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54%68.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18% (-0.749 -0.75)20.82% (0.75 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.51% (-1.188 -1.19)53.49% (1.191 1.19)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (1.058 1.06)28.26% (-1.055 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (1.314 1.31)63.97% (-1.312 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 44.48%
    DC United 30.74%
    Draw 24.78%
Nashville SCDrawDC United
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.343 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 44.48%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.216 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.269 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.196 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.167 0.17)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 30.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: New England 1-0 Nashville
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-2 Nashville
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-2 Austin
Sunday, August 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-0 DC United
Sunday, September 22 at 11.15pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-1 NY City
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 DC United
Sunday, September 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-3 DC United
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 3-4 Dallas
Sunday, August 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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