Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | DC United |
44.48% ( -1.72) | 24.78% ( 0.18) | 30.74% ( 1.54) |
Both teams to score 56.8% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.84% ( -0) | 46.16% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.54% | 68.46% ( 0) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.18% ( -0.75) | 20.82% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.51% ( -1.19) | 53.49% ( 1.19) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.74% ( 1.06) | 28.26% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.03% ( 1.31) | 63.97% ( -1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.48% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.74% |
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