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NY
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 44
Nov 7, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Yankee Stadium
PU

NY City
1 - 1
Philadelphia

Castellanos (53')
Medina (82')
Zelalem (21')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Przybylko (27')
Glesnes (25'), Wagner (31'), Andres Martinez (50'), Bedoya (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
61.39%20.2%18.4%
Both teams to score 58.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.46%37.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.23%59.77%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.19%11.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.97%37.03%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21%33.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55%70.45%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 61.4%
    Philadelphia Union 18.4%
    Draw 20.2%
New York City FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 8.52%
3-1 @ 7.04%
3-0 @ 6.48%
3-2 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 3.76%
4-0 @ 3.46%
4-2 @ 2.04%
5-1 @ 1.61%
5-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 61.4%
1-1 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 5.36%
0-0 @ 3.99%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.2%
1-2 @ 5.02%
0-1 @ 4.33%
0-2 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.94%
1-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 18.4%

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