SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
36.86% ( -0.11) | 24.54% ( -0.03) | 38.6% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.43% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.51% ( 0.13) | 43.49% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.11% ( 0.13) | 65.89% ( -0.13) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.64% ( 0) | 23.36% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.67% | 57.32% ( -0) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( 0.13) | 22.45% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44% ( 0.19) | 55.99% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 36.86% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.6% |
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