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Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
AF

Nashville
0 - 2
Austin


Williams (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gallagher (43'), Bukari (85')
Hines-Ike (7'), Ring (65'), Valencia (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Austin
Thursday, August 8 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup

We said: Nashville SC 2-1 Austin FC

There is little to choose between the sides leading up to this one, and Saturday's game is firmly in the balance. However, we just about back Nashville to carry the day and see off the threat of Austin at the end of the 90 minutes in Tennessee. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawAustin FC
50.24% (-0.894 -0.89) 24.68% (0.377 0.38) 25.07% (0.511 0.51)
Both teams to score 52.89% (-0.665 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-1.13 -1.13)49.34% (1.123 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-1.027 -1.03)71.39% (1.018 1.02)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (-0.79900000000001 -0.8)19.65% (0.792 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (-1.311 -1.31)51.63% (1.304 1.3)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.83% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)34.17% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.14% (-0.188 -0.19)70.86% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 50.24%
    Austin FC 25.07%
    Draw 24.68%
Nashville SCDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 50.24%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.303 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.293 0.29)
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 25.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: New England 1-1 Nashville (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 7 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Nashville 0-2 Mazatlan
Thursday, August 1 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-3 Orlando City
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-1 Nashville
Monday, July 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Austin
Thursday, August 8 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Monterrey 0-2 Austin
Wednesday, July 31 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Pumas 2-3 Austin
Saturday, July 27 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, July 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-1 Austin
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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