Depth could be an issue for both as the season wears on, but at the moment, the Toronto newcomers are gelling a lot quicker than those for Charlotte, and we believe that continuity will enable the Reds to make fewer mistakes than the opposition on Saturday.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 51.64%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
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