Earlier this week, we saw the New York team we all expected at the beginning of this campaign, looking dominant towards the end of that game, and although the results have not gone their way lately, it seems like a matter of time before some of those quality chances go in.
RSL have held their own despite missing many regular starters this year, but they seem to invite more pressure into their box, and we anticipate they will have problems containing a frustrated, yet still potent New York squad.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
