Toronto have put together a nice run of late and are showing definite improvement, but playing in the altitude of Salt Lake City against a side who have done a great job of making in-game adjustments will be a lot to handle. The Reds have not won a game there since 2007, and we expect that streak will continue this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Toronto
51.59%	24.13%	24.28%

Both teams to score 53.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.28%

47.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.09%

69.91%

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.51%

18.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.3%

49.7%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.03%

33.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.35%

70.64%

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 51.59%

Toronto 24.28%

Draw 24.12%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Toronto
1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.59%	1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.12%	0-1 @ 6.78% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.24% Total : 24.28%