Toronto have put together a nice run of late and are showing definite improvement, but playing in the altitude of Salt Lake City against a side who have done a great job of making in-game adjustments will be a lot to handle.
The Reds have not won a game there since 2007, and we expect that streak will continue this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
