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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
51.27% ( -1.15) | 24.18% ( 0.08) | 24.55% ( 1.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.96% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( 0.67) | 47.67% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( 0.61) | 69.87% ( -0.61) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.4% ( -0.19) | 18.59% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.12% ( -0.32) | 49.88% ( 0.32) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.29% ( 1.3) | 33.71% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.63% ( 1.39) | 70.37% ( -1.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.55% |
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