Battling to climb up the table, San Jose look set for a long and arduous campaign in MLS.
On the other hand, Houston have shown signs of positivity so far and it could be another profitable afternoon for the Dynamo.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
