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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Toronto |
58.03% ( 0.12) | 21.55% ( -0.04) | 20.42% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.23% ( 0.09) | 40.77% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.84% ( 0.1) | 63.16% ( -0.09) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.2% ( 0.07) | 13.8% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.86% ( 0.14) | 41.14% ( -0.13) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( -0.02) | 33.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.71% ( -0.02) | 70.29% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 58.03% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 20.42% |
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