SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
55.05% ( 1.15) | 23.99% ( -0.34) | 20.96% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 50.1% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.39% ( 0.42) | 50.61% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.48% ( 0.37) | 72.52% ( -0.37) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( 0.59) | 18.26% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.68% ( 1) | 49.31% ( -1) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.3% ( -0.58) | 38.7% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.56% ( -0.56) | 75.44% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.31% Total : 55.03% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.96% |
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