Two sides in contrasting form, the chances of San Jose ending their rut against a Minnesota side look slim. The head-to-head record sides with the hosts, who should have enough to take three points in this Western Conference clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
56.56%	22.31%	21.12%

Both teams to score 55.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.72%

43.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.33%

65.68%

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.89%

15.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.33%

43.67%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.62%

34.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.92%

71.09%

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 56.56%

San Jose Earthquakes 21.13%

Draw 22.31%

Minnesota United	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 5.84% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.76% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.71% Total : 56.56%	1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 5.29% 0-0 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.31%	1-2 @ 5.6% 0-1 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.09% Total : 21.13%