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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 44
Nov 7, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
BMO Field
DU

Toronto
1 - 3
DC United

Laryea (18')
Dwyer (74')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Birnbaum (13'), Kamara (30' pen., 36')
Felipe (65'), Pines (76'), Mora (85'), Birnbaum (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for DC United had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawDC United
57.21%21.83%20.95%
Both teams to score 57.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68%41.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29%63.71%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.76%14.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.01%41.99%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57%33.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94%70.05%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 57.21%
    DC United 20.95%
    Draw 21.82%
TorontoDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 6.44%
3-0 @ 5.88%
3-2 @ 3.53%
4-1 @ 3.14%
4-0 @ 2.86%
4-2 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 1.22%
5-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 57.21%
1-1 @ 10.16%
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 4.76%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 5.57%
0-1 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 20.95%

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