SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Inter Miami |
68.57% ( -1.51) | 19.01% ( 0.78) | 12.42% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 47.65% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.61% ( -1.61) | 44.39% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.24% ( -1.58) | 66.76% ( 1.58) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.13% ( -0.86) | 11.87% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.83% ( -1.86) | 37.17% ( 1.87) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.07% ( 0.21) | 45.93% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.33% ( 0.16) | 81.67% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 2-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.33)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2% ( -0.22)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.34% Total : 68.57% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.01% | 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.42% |
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