Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
