SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Darlington |
42.92% ( 0.19) | 27.69% ( 0.09) | 29.39% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 47.12% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.65% ( -0.43) | 58.35% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.03% ( -0.34) | 78.96% ( 0.34) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( -0.1) | 26.92% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.76% ( -0.13) | 62.24% ( 0.13) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.48% ( -0.45) | 35.52% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.71% ( -0.47) | 72.28% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.91% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.04% Total : 29.39% |
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