Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
