Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guiseley win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guiseley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
