Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 16.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
