Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%).
Result | ||
Spennymoor Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
44.06% ( -0.02) | 27.8% ( -0.01) | 28.14% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 46.15% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.74% ( 0.04) | 59.25% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.33% ( 0.04) | 79.67% ( -0.03) |
Spennymoor Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.26% ( 0.01) | 26.74% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.99% ( 0.02) | 62.01% ( -0.02) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63% ( 0.04) | 37% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.22% ( 0.05) | 73.78% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Spennymoor Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
1-0 @ 13.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 28.14% |
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