Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 66.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for York City had a probability of 14.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Chorley	Draw	York City
66.07%	19.86%	14.06%

Both teams to score 49.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.62%

44.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.25%

66.75%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.43%

12.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.37%

38.63%

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.62%

43.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.39%

79.61%

Score Analysis

Chorley 66.06%

York City 14.06%

Draw 19.86%

Chorley	Draw	York City
2-0 @ 11.72% 1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 8.11% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 4.21% 4-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.83% 5-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.15% Total : 66.06%	1-1 @ 9.44% 0-0 @ 5.45% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.88% Total : 19.86%	0-1 @ 4.55% 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.14% 1-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.06%