Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 70.44%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 11.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Linfield |
11.36% ( 0.03) | 18.19% ( 0.01) | 70.44% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 46.99% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.55% ( 0.03) | 43.45% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.15% ( 0.03) | 65.84% ( -0.03) |
Dungannon Swifts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.85% ( 0.07) | 47.14% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.4% ( 0.05) | 82.59% ( -0.05) |
Linfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.89% ( -0) | 11.1% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.49% ( -0) | 35.51% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Linfield |
1-0 @ 3.94% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 11.36% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 18.19% | 0-2 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.97% ( 0) 0-4 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 2.24% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 70.44% |
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