Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 0-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 2-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
