Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 70.9%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 2-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
