Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 63.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 14.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.79%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
