SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 68.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Larne |
12.49% ( 0.51) | 19.35% ( 0.53) | 68.17% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.73% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.27% ( -1.07) | 45.72% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.95% ( -1.02) | 68.04% ( 1.02) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.33% ( 0.18) | 46.67% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.76% ( 0.14) | 82.24% ( -0.13) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.62% ( -0.6) | 12.37% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.77% ( -1.26) | 38.23% ( 1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 12.49% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 19.35% | 0-2 @ 12.6% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.26)1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 8.78% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 6.69% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 4.59% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.92% ( -0.14)1-5 @ 1.46% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.06% Total : 68.15% |
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