Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 81.53%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 5.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.39%) and 1-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
