Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
